2014巴西世界杯 > China Daily独家

荷兰为什么不能赢得世界杯?

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2014-06-09 16:31:43

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When a country makes it to the final of one World Cup, they are generally among the favourites to go all the way at the next tournament four years later. And when said team qualifies for that next World Cup by recording nine wins and one draw in the qualification campaign, there is usually no further discussion over whether they are among the teams to beat. Yet things are slightly different with Netherlands.

The Dutch hugely disappointed at Euro 2012 – where they crashed out at the group stages after defeats against Germany, Portugal and Denmark – and have since not only replaced head coach Bert van Marwijk with Louis van Gaal, but have completely overhauled their squad as well.

From the team that reached the final in South Africa, only seven players have made the cut again for this summer’s tournament, with just four of them expected to make Holland’s starting XI in Brazil – Nigel de Jong, Robin van Persie, Wesley Sneijder and Arjen Robben.

It’s therefore fair to say Netherlands are no longer the team they were four years ago, and expectations surrounding the team have changed, too. Holland might be one of only five countries to have made it to the World Cup final on at least three occasions – Brazil, Italy, Germany and Argentina being the other four - but they have still yet to lift the trophy and it seems unlikely that they will at last emerge victorious this summer.

Oranje might have arguably one of the best coaches in the world in Van Gaal - who has won domestic league titles in Netherlands, Spain and Germany - but there’s only so much a coach can do. The future Manchester United manager has a squad that seemingly lacks the quality to compete with the best teams in the world, prompting the 62-year-old to change Holland’s famous 4-3-3 formation to a more defensive 5-3-2.

"Netherlands are having a little bit more of a difficult time now than four years ago. We don't have the 10 or 11 world-class players in our team like before. We have maybe three or four," Holland legend Edwin van der Sar recently toldfifa.com.

"And those world-class players are getting older, so it's about time that the young Dutch generation pick up the slack from the older ones and hopefully can achieve, first with their clubs and then the national team, a little more success than over the last three or four years."

Holland’s impressive qualification campaign might suggest that Van der Sar’s comments are not an accurate reflection of the team’s strength, but there’s no denying that the Dutch starting XI this summer will not be as star-studded as at previous tournaments.

Although Jasper Cillessen has proven to be a good goalkeeper at Ajax this season, Oranje’s No.1 is by no means at the same level as the aforementioned Van der Sar was during his best years and the 25-year-old has very little experience at the highest level.

Cillessen’s C.V would have been less of a problem if Holland had some high-profile names in defence, yet their back five is rather inexperienced, too. Only Aston Villa centre-back Ron Vlaar plies his trade outside of the Dutch Eredivisie and even he plays for a relatively modest club. Daryl Janmaat, Stefan de Vrij and Bruno Martins Indi all have potential, but need at least a few more years to reach their peak.

In midfield, De Jong, Sneijder and Jonathan de Guzman all remain well-respected players, but the latter is by no means among the best in the world in his position, while De Jong and Sneijder are no longer at the level that saw them become key players for Oranje during the 2010 World Cup either.

The Dutch have plenty of quality in attack, though, and Van Gaal is well aware of Robben and Van Persie's ability to single-handedly decide matches, having made them his only two "untouchables" after Kevin Strootman was ruled out of the World Cup due to injury. "Only Van Persie and Robben are sure of their spot, but I've said that for a year and a half," the Holland coach recently said about his 23-man squad.

With Schalke hitman Klaas-Jan Huntelaar and PSV wonderkid Memphis Depay ready to make an impact, too, attack seems to be the one area where Netherlands can still compete with the best.

Their prowess up-front does not make up for their vulnerability in defence, however, and Van Gaal’s men could face a tough task to even survive the group stages.

"Spain-Netherlands is a very tough opening game. Holland should be happy if they survive the groups. That would already be a good achievement and something I would be satisfied with," Dutch hero Johan Cruyff stated last month.

Netherlands have plenty of promising youngsters to support their two true world-class players, yet this summer's tournament will likely come too soon for the current crop of players. Another disappointing tournament could very well be on the cards for the 2010 World Cup runners-up following their Euro 2012 debacle.

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通常情况下,如果一支国家队杀进了某届世界杯决赛,他们在四年后的下一届世界杯会一直被看好为热门球队之一。而说到这支球队在预选赛中还是以九胜一平的佳绩挺进决赛圈,那些关于这支国家队是否身处顶尖球队之列的疑问一般而言没有衍生的空间。然而对于这支荷兰队,情况稍有不同。

荷兰人在2012欧洲杯的表现极度令人失望—— 接连负于德国,葡萄牙和丹麦之后小组赛黯然出局。在此之后他们不仅用范加尔代替范马尔维克成为了国家队主帅,还已经完全地翻新了他们的阵容。

那支在南非打进决赛的队伍中只有7名球员进入了今年世界杯的阵容,而在这些人之中只有4人是可预料的主力人选——尼格尔·德容,罗宾·范佩西,韦斯利·斯内德以及罗本。

因此公平地说,这支荷兰队和四年前的他们已经不是同一支球队,并且围绕在现在这支球队身上的期望值也发生了转变。尽管荷兰是仅有的五个曾经三度打进世界杯决赛的国家之一(另外的4个巨人分别为巴西,意大利,德国和阿根廷),但他们仍然未曾赢得过大力神杯,而且也似乎不太可能在这个夏天实现凯旋。

橙衣军团拥有可能是世界上最优秀的教练之一范加尔(曾赢得过荷兰,西班牙,德国的顶级联赛冠军头衔),然而一个教练能做的毕竟有限。这位未来的曼联主帅手下的阵容看起来缺乏能和其他顶尖的国家队一争高下的实力,这也促使了这位62岁的教头把荷兰队的场上阵型从他们著名的4-3-3变更为更注重防守的5-3-2。

“荷兰队正在经历一个比四年前稍为艰苦的阶段。我们不像以前一样,在大名单中拥有10或11名世界级球员。现在可能有3或4个,”荷兰国家队传奇埃范德萨最近在接受国际足联官网采访时如是说道。

“而且那几个世界级球员也正在变老,所以荷兰足球的年青一代是时候从前辈手上接过这个烂摊子,希望他们能先是跟随各自的俱乐部获得一些成绩,接着在国家队赢取比过去3到4年更大的成就。”

荷兰队可观的预选赛征程或许表明了范德萨的评论并没有准确地反映出这支球队的强处,然而无可否认,这个夏天荷兰队的首发阵容将不再如以往般星光闪耀。

门将位置上虽然贾斯珀·希列森通过这个赛季在阿贾克斯的表现已经证明了自己是一名不错的门将,这位橙衣军团现任1号的发挥仍是根本不能和上文提到的范德萨在其巅峰时期的表现相提并论,而且这位25岁的年轻人在最高级别的赛事中还相当缺乏经验。

如果荷兰队的防线能有一些资深的后卫坐镇,希列森的履历本不是个问题,问题是他们的后防5人全都是菜鸟。其中只有效力于阿斯顿维拉的中卫弗拉尔有在荷甲以外的联赛踢球的经历,而且即使是他,所效力的也算不上大球会。达里尔·扬马特,斯特凡·德弗里以及布鲁诺·马丁斯·因迪都是有潜能的选手,但他们至少需要多几年的时间来到达各自的巅峰。

在中场,德容,斯内德和若纳坦·德古兹曼都是口碑不错的球员,不过后者在他那个位置上绝非世界顶级,而前两者也已不再拥有在2010年世界杯的那支亚军阵容中充当关键球员的水平。

荷兰队在攻击线上倒是火力强大,范加尔非常清楚罗本和范佩西能利用个人能力独自决定比赛,在中场凯文·斯特鲁曼因伤无缘本届世界杯后,他声称唯独这两人的主力地位在他手下是“不可触犯”的。“只有范佩西和罗本能确保他们的一席之地,不过这话我已经说了一年半了,”荷兰主帅在最近谈到他的23人大名单时这么说道。另外攻击线上还有效力于沙尔克的杀手克拉斯-扬·亨特拉尔和埃因霍温神童孟菲斯·德佩,他们也已准备好随时发挥作用,这样看来进攻是荷兰队能和其他劲旅掰掰手腕的领域。

然而,他们彪悍的前场火力还是无法掩盖防守的脆弱,对于范加尔的球队来说,即使是小组出线也可称得上是一个艰难的考验。

“对阵西班牙的首场比赛将非常艰难。荷兰队能从小组出线就应该感到开心了。那已经是个不错的成绩,我会对此满足,”荷兰传奇克鲁伊夫上个月说。

荷兰阵中拥有不少有前途的新星能辅佐他们的两位真正的世界级球星,可是今夏的这届大赛对于这支青年军而言想出成绩可能还是太早了。在经历2012欧洲杯的崩溃之后,2010世界杯的亚军可能又将记载一届令人失望的大赛。

(译者 sofiwong 编辑 齐磊)

编辑:许雅宁
 

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