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US policy risks global instability

China Daily | Updated: 2018-01-23 07:38

Trump has stirred up controversy, unrest over DPRK and Iran issues

WASHINGTON - Endorsed by the "America First" strategy, the US foreign policy of the Donald Trump administration has stirred up controversy and unrest around the world.

As tension lingers on the Korean Peninsula as well as the Middle East, the doctrines the Trump administration will follow regarding international affairs in his remaining years in office will be vital to global stability and development.

There were mounting reports in the past months that the Trump administration was weighing attacks to rid Pyongyang of its nuclear program.

A limited and pre-emptive "bloody nose" strike was reportedly discussed seriously by the United States military, though many have warned of the risk of igniting an all-out war.

US policymakers must face the facts, said Michael Fuchs, an expert on US foreign policy.

"There are no acceptable US military options involving a first strike, given the inevitable retaliation and mass casualties that would follow," Fuchs, senior fellow at Center for American Progress, a Washington-based think tank, wrote in Foreign Affairs magazine.

An all-out war on the Korean Peninsula would be catastrophic beyond any imagination.

Even if the Democratic People's Republic of Korea uses only its conventional munitions, casualties were estimated to range between 30,000 and 300,000 in the first days of fighting, according to a report compiled by US Congressional Research Service, gathering views of six experts on national security and Asian affairs.

In either scenario, we lose even if we "win" in a strictly military sense, said US lawmakers Ruben Gallego and Ted Lieu.

A "freeze for freeze" agreement, in which Pyongyang stops missile and nuclear tests and Washington stops military exercises with Seoul, could help get both sides to the negotiating table, according to Fuchs.

The Six-Party Talks, which included the DPRK and the US, along with China, Japan, Russia and the Republic of Korea, could be revived as a formal coordination mechanism to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula, Fuchs said.

"But the real work would have to be done bilaterally between Washington and Pyongyang," he added.

Middle East unrest

From the recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel to the "ultimatum" which could spell an end to the landmark Iran nuclear deal, Trump's policies on the Middle East involved highly controversial decisions, adding turmoil to the region.

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas recently claimed that the US has chosen to disqualify itself from playing a role in the peace process.

"They have proved their full bias in favor of Israel," Abbas said.

Meanwhile, a formidable group of regional powers, including Turkey, Iran and Jordan, have voiced their rejection of the US role in the Israeli-Palestinian talks, while the US is crafting its Middle East policy.

On the Iran nuclear deal, European countries complained that Trump has taken no positive action despite his efforts to solicit support from Europe. Those who oppose the accord should come up with a better solution and "we haven't seen it so far", said British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson.

Prospects for peace and US national security interests in the Middle East have been dampened following Trump's decisions, said US foreign policy experts Hady Amr and Arsalan Suleman.

"As the global fallout over Trump's unilateral decision continues to spread, it is increasingly obvious that the Trump administration failed to anticipate the full scope of negative global reaction and has been caught flat-footed in response," wrote Amr and Suleman in an article posted on the website of US think tank Brookings.

"America First", a strategy which Trump has been touting since his presidential campaign, is believed to be the motive for the president's controversial actions.

The "America First" strategy is a more aggressive projection of US power, said Nile Gardiner, director of the Heritage Foundation's Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom.

Xinhua

US policy risks global instability

(China Daily 01/23/2018 page11)

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