The 'black swan' marvel in changing times

Ever since Donald Trump won the United States' presidential election, analysts across the world have written tons of articles with some expressing "cautious optimism" and others "guarded pessimism". And given the appearance of another "black swan" - the election of Rodrigo Duterte as the Philippines' president, I can guess where the international situation and the United States' foreign policy are headed toward.

The international situation in 2016 was characterized by chaos, change and a desire for law and order, with change being the key link in the interrelated features. The process of quantitative change seems to have reached a critical point and is moving toward the stage of qualitative change, as is suggested by the "Trump phenomenon" in America and the "Duterte phenomenon" in Asia.

The "Trump phenomenon" indicates the birth of a new trend of thought - "seeking change" and "seeking good governance" - in developed countries that are currently caught up in various kinds of turmoil.