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Economists: Chinese economy to recover in Q2
By Wang Bo (chinadaily.com.cn)
Updated: 2009-02-14 16:35
As the large scale de-stocking process tapers off and the stimulus policies take effect, the Chinese economy could touch the trough in the first quarter and bottom out in the second quarter of this year, economists said.
But he warned that the property sector might be an uncertainty in the medium term. As the government unveiled a raft of measures to prop up the real estate market, the property trade in some cities has rebounded, he said.
However, it is still not clear whether it can keep the momentum. If so, it can be a key support for the growth of domestic demands, Gao added.
Li Gang, economist with China Agricultural Bank，shared Gao's view, saying the Chinese real economy could have touched the trough in late last year or the first quarter of 2009.
"There is a risk of mild deflation in the first half of 2009, and corporate earnings will touch the bottom during the same period," Li said.
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