The 'great pie' for Hong Kong's anniversary party

The expected launch later this year of the Bond Connect - the third securities trading link between Hong Kong and the Chinese mainland - represents a gratifying gift for the SAR, which is celebrating the 20th anniversary of the city's return to the motherland.

Global bond-fund managers have hailed the latest link-up as one that will cement Hong Kong's role as a premier international finance center by facilitating cross-boundary fund flows from overseas to the world's third-largest bond market after the United States and Japan, with a total debt value estimated at $9.5 trillion.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) -the city's de fact central bank - announced last month that the Bond Connect will kick off in phases, starting with northbound trading, which will allow overseas institutional investors in Hong Kong, as well as those in other countries and regions, to invest in bonds traded in the China interbank bond market (CIBM).

There will be no investment quota set for northbound trading, and the date for the official launch will be announced later.

Southbound trading, which will enable mainland investors to invest in Hong Kong's bond market, will be "explored in due course", according to a joint statement from the PBOC and the HKMA.

The PBOC and the HKMA have given the green light for the China Foreign Exchange Trade System and National Interbank Funding Center, China Central Depository and Clearing Co and Shanghai Clearing House, together with Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd (HKEx) and the HKMA's Central Moneymarkets Unit to conduct settlement and trading matters related to the northbound trading.

"This will generate greater demand for Hong Kong's related financial services, such as custody and settlement, asset management, as well as risk management. The Bond Connect is another major move that uses Hong Kong as the platform to strengthen the connectivity between the mainland and global capital markets," HKMA Chief Executive Norman Chan Tak-lam said.

"The great pie is there. Hong Kong will play a custodian role in channeling cross-boundary fund flows from overseas investors into the mainland onshore bond market. It's a win-win situation," said Cindy Chen Jindan, Hong Kong securities services country head at Citicorp International.

The Bond Connect is the central government's fourth key measure taken to liberalize the country's capital markets in recent years and is seen as an important first step in promoting internationalization of the renminbi. It follows the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect in November 2014, the Mainland-Hong Kong Mutual Recognition of Funds Scheme in mid-2015 and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect late last year.

The PBOC has also said it will permit eligible foreign institutional investors to invest in the CIBM directly along with quotas through the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) and the Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (RQFII) programs.

The Bond Connect eliminates the need for overseas investors to comply with a number of onshore procedures and formalities associated with investing in mainland onshore bonds.

The mainland onshore bond market comprises the exchange-traded bond market regulated by securities watchdog, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the interbank bond market regulated by the PBOC which is significantly larger and more liquid. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange said in February this year it will allow foreign institutional investors access to foreign exchange derivatives in the onshore market for hedging their onshore bond positions.

"We anticipate overseas investors will not immediately rush to snap up mainland onshore bonds because they already have the CIBM, QFII and RQFII channels. In addition, they have to gauge the interest rate and global macroeconomic environment before deciding to allocate how much capital to this asset class," noted Angus Hui Tze-fung, Asian fixed income fund manager at Schroder Investment Management (Hong Kong).

Although it would not bring immediate benefits, the launch of the Bond Connect would fortify the SAR's bond market infrastructure and bolster offshore yuan financing businesses in the city from a long-term perspective.

"We're hopeful HKEx can use the same technology to support the growth and development of the Hong Kong dollar bond markets as well," said Bryan Collins, fixed-income portfolio manager at Fidelity International.

Yue Yi, vice-chairman and chief executive at Bank of China (Hong Kong), said the bonds link can stabilize the yuan liquidity pool in Hong Kong and support the development of more yuan-denominated financing products.

"The program will enhance foreign exchange transaction volumes in the Hong Kong market and stimulate the development of financial products for hedging interest-rate and foreign exchange risks," Yue said.

Premier Li Keqiang told the fifth annual session of the 12th National People's Congress in March this year the direct bonds trading link between Hong Kong and the mainland could be up and running by the end of this year.

oswald@chinadailyhk.com

(HK Edition 06/02/2017 page8)