Chinese meteorologists warned that in the 21st century China will become
increasingly warmer, with increased precipitation in some parts of the country.
 A woman covers her face from dust during a windy day in
Beijing February 13, 2007. Beijing is experiencing an unusually warm
winter with the capital's temperatures breaking half-century records on
three of the past seven days. [Reuters]
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A recent report from the China Meteorological Administration said that in the
past 50 years, China's surface temperature rose 0.22 degrees Celsius for every
10 years on average, higher than the increases in global and Northern Hemisphere
temperatures.
Compared with the average temperature during the 30 years between 1961 and
1990, China's annual average temperature will possibly rise 1.3-2.1 degrees
Celsius by 2020, 1.5-2.8 degrees by 2030, 2.3-3.3 degrees by 2050, and 3.9-6.0
degrees by 2100.
The report also said that the country's precipitation will alsobe on a rising
trend. By 2020, the national average annual precipitation will increase two to
three percent, by 2050, five to seven percent, and by 2100, 11-17 percent.
The sea level will continue to rise, by 2050 it will rise 12-50 centimeters.
In the coming 100 years, extreme weather events will possibly increase; drought
areas will expand and desertification will be more serious; glaciers on the
Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the Tianshan Mountains will recede at accelerating
speed and some small glaciers will disappear.
By 2050, the area of glaciers in China's northwest will shrink by 27 percent,
the report warned.
In the coming four to five years, chances of extremely strong rainfall in
east China will be four to six times that of the 1980s and 1990s, and there will
be more frequent and stronger typhoons in coastal areas, the report said.
Qin Dahe, director of the China Meteorological Administration, said in a
recent press conference that meteorological disasters caused direct economic
losses of 200 to 300 billion yuan (25 to 37.5 billion U.S. dollars) in China
annually, which was equivalent to two to five percent of China's gross domestic
product.
Greenhouse gas emissions, and carbon dioxide discharges in particular, are
widely considered to be the prime factor in global warming.The Chinese
government has backed the UN-brokered Kyoto treaty, and committed itself to
improving its energy efficiency bysetting the goal of cutting its energy
consumption by 20 percent per unit of GDP in the period from 2006 to 2010, Qin
noted.
China reduced emissions by some 800 million tons of coal equivalent from 1991
to 2005. The country's forests, grasslands and natural reserves have helped
absorb another 3.06 billion tons, he said.