China's stocks decline to 14-mth low

Updated: 2010-06-29 15:06
Large Medium Small

China's stocks slumped, driving the benchmark index down the most in six weeks, on concern the nation's property curbs and Europe's debt crisis will slow growth in the world's third-largest economy.

The Shanghai Composite Index retreated 108.23, or 4.3 percent, to close at 2,427.05, the most since May 17 and the lowest close in 14 months, after the Conference Board revised down its April gauge for China's economic outlook to indicate a weaker expansion. Declines deepened after the gauge fell below a technical support level at 2,481.

Jiangxi Copper Co paced losses by commodity producers after the New York-based research group said the leading economic index it compiles rose the least since November. China Cosco Holdings Co, the world's largest operator of dry-bulk ships, slid to the lowest since January as Citigroup Inc said Chinese exports face "strong headwinds." [China stocks 'range-bound' on exports, Citigroup says]

"Pessimism is growing about slowing economic and profit growth," said Dai Ming, a fund manager at Shanghai Kingsun Investment Management & Consulting Co.

The Shanghai Composite has tumbled 22 percent this quarter, heading for the biggest loss since the three months to March 2008, as policy makers tightened rules for the property market and concern grew that Europe's austerity measures will hurt demand in China's largest export destination. The equity index is the world's third-worst performer this year, down 26 percent.

Banks drop most in 5 weeks

China's banks fell the most in five weeks on concern Agricultural Bank of China Ltd's initial public offering may divert investor funds away from other lenders during a slump in the nation's equity markets.

ABC said late Monday in a statement filed with the Shanghai Stock Exchange that it had set the price range for the Shanghai portion of its initial public offering (IPO) at 2.52 to 2.68 yuan ($0.37 to $0.39). [Focus on ABC's IPO]

The pricing of the shares means ABC, the last of China's "big four" State-owned banks to float shares, would be able to raise up to $23.2 billion, set to beat a record $21.9 billion raised by Industrial & Commercial Bank of China in 2006.

Institutions will start subscribing for ABC's IPO on Thursday, while retail subscriptions are scheduled for early next week.Investors started pulling funds from the market to prepare for a major initial public offering by the bank, according to Reuters.

A gauge of lenders in the CSI 300 Index retreated 4 percent at 2:39 pm, the most since May 17. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd slid 3.1 percent to 4.13 yuan. Bank of China Ltd lost 2.3 percent to 3.47 yuan.

Conference Board

The leading economic indicator for China rose 0.3 percent in April, less than the 1.7 percent gain reported on June 15, the Conference Board said. The previous release contained a "calculation error" for total floor space on which construction began, the research group said in a statement today.

"This correction doesn't affect our outlook for the Chinese economy," William Adams, resident economist for the Conference Board in Beijing, said in a telephone interview. "Growth was not likely to accelerate in China, and in fact, a moderation is possible. This correction also supports the same view."

Analysts are split on whether the People's Bank of China will raise interest rates this year from crisis levels after having increased bank reserve requirements, set a lower target for lending and eased the currency's peg to the dollar, according to a Bloomberg News survey last week.

Commodities, transport

Concerns over the prospect for growth sent copper and nickel both down by 2.2 percent. Crude oil prices also declined 0.6 percent to $77.79 a barrel.

China Cosco lost 2.5 percent to 9.03 yuan, pacing declines by transport companies. China Shipping Development Co, a unit of China's second-biggest sea-cargo group, slid 2.6 percent to 8.61 yuan. Air China Ltd, the nation's largest international carrier, retreated 5.4 percent to 10.51 yuan.

Chinese stocks will probably stay "range-bound" pending clarity on policies and the economy, Shen Minggao, head of China research at Citigroup, said in a report.

'Renewed turbulence'

The Shanghai Composite trades at 18.3 times reported earnings, compared with a multiple of around 33 times at the start of the year.

Global financial markets will face "renewed turbulence" as structural deficits and public debt in Europe and the US hamper economic growth, Aberdeen Asset Management said in a statement.

Related readings:
China's stocks decline to 14-mth low China stocks 'range-bound' on exports, Citigroup says
China's stocks decline to 14-mth low China stocks close down Monday
China's stocks decline to 14-mth low Xinjiang-based stocks rise most on investment plans
China's stocks decline to 14-mth low Chinese stocks fall for 3rd day

Rising asset prices, driven by liquidity, could create instability, said Aberdeen, which manages more than $243.1 billion of global assets. Emerging market officials need to normalize their monetary policies, which may mean interest-rate increases later this year or in 2011 as inflation accelerates, according to Aberdeen.

Developer Gemdale slumped 8.3 percent to 6.29 yuan, the most since May 17. Zhao Hanzhong resigned as a senior vice president and a member of the company's board for personal reasons, according to a company filing.