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Updated: 2003-08-15 01:00

Calculating the perfect marriage

代数公式测姻缘 信不信由你

Calculating the perfect marriageDelegates at a conference in Dundee have heard how mathematics can determine the fate of a marriage.

Professor James Murray from the University of Washington believes he has formulated a model which can predict the chances of staying with a chosen partner.

He claims data from a couple's conversations, converted into algebra, is 94% accurate in determining how long a couple will remain wed.

Professor Murray, who creates a graph of their conversations, believes it could eventually be used to predict the likelihood of divorce.

He explained that phrases used by a couple in conversation are given a numerical value with the range being from minus four to plus four.

So, a reference to a partner "being stupid" would be scored as minus four, but a joke which results in laughter from a partner would be scored as plus two.

He said: "For each conversation slot we get a number and over time we get a graph of how they are interacting."

Prof Murray explained that the information for the graph is collated when couples, who are planning to get married, are brought into a lab and there conversation is assessed for 15 minutes.

He added: "We use a scoring system on their reactions and represent their reactions with algebraic terms.

"Against time evolution, we can work out if they are likely to stay together or if they are more likely to divorce.

"Maths provides a language for interpreting the human interaction. It quantifies one person's effect on the other, and it is not difficult.

"The maths we are using could be done by secondary school pupils with basic algebra. Once they are shown the basic model, they insert their data and make the simple calculation."

(Agencies)

在苏格兰邓迪举行的一次会议上,与会代表们得知数学家可以测定婚姻的结局。

来自华盛顿大学的詹姆斯·默里教授认为他已经计算出一个公式,可以预测一对伴侣生活在一起的可能性。

他声称,从一对夫妻的对话中获取数据,然后将其转化成代数形式,就能测定这对夫妻的婚姻可以维持多长时间,准确率达到94%。

默里教授根据他们的对话画出一幅曲线图,他相信这条曲线最终可以用来预测这对夫妻离婚的可能性。

他解释说夫妻对话时使用的词语都被赋予了一定的数值,范围从负四到正四。

因而,如果夫妻中有一人提到对方“愚蠢”,得分就为负四,相反,说一个笑话让对方发笑得分为正二。

他说:“我们从每一段谈话得出一个数值,一段时间过后,我们就可以绘制一幅显示夫妻之间交流情况的图表。”

默里教授解释说,根据打算结婚的两个人在实验室里的15分钟谈话,他们获取了绘制图表的信息。

他补充说:“我们用一个记分系统来给他们的反应打分,并用代数术语来表示他们的反应。

“随着时间的推移,我们就可以计算出他们可能会待在一起还是更可能会离婚。

“数学提供了一种语言来解释人与人之间的相互作用,它将一个人对他人的影响量化,这并不困难。”

“学过最基本的代数原理的中学生都可以完成我们现在所进行的数学计算工作。只要他们知道了基本模式,然后把数据套入模式,进行简单的计算就可以了。”

(中国日报网站译)

 
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