A stock investor monitors the changes
of stock and fund indexes at a securities trading office in Beijing
November 20, 2006. The Shanghai stock index rose as high as 2,000 points,
a 63-month high. [newsphoto]
A continuing massive inflow of domestic and foreign funds Tuesday pushed the
Shanghai stock index to a 5-year high with much of the buying concentrated in
banks and blue chips.
The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which had seen five consecutive days
of gains, breached the 2000-point psychological barrier and jumped 2.3 per cent
to close at 2017.28, the highest since July 27, 2001.
The index is up about 72 per cent since the beginning of this year, making
China one of the world's best-performing equities markets.
The rally gathered steam after the government initiated regulatory and
structural reforms to convert US$250 billion worth of State-owned non-tradable
shares to tradable ones.
The market surge is also a reflection of China's fast-growing economy and
wide expectations of the yuan's further appreciation.
These factors have combined to suck in a continuous inflow of investment
funds from institutions, analysts said.
The exchange rate of the renminbi against the US dollar hit a new high last
Monday, with the central parity rate at 7.8644. The rate was 7.869 yesterday.
Figures from Shanghai-based Wind Data show that since September, 22 mutual
funds have raised 80.6 billion yuan (US$10.2 billion) to invest in the market.
In the past two weeks alone, eight mutual funds raised a combined 30 billion
yuan (US$3.8 billion), indicating a new wave of capital for equities.
It predicted that by the end of this year, more than 100 billion yuan of
(US$12.7 billion) new capital would flow into the market.
Meanwhile, the central government has quickened the pace of allowing more
foreign capital into the stock market. The government granted US$400 million in
new quotas in the past week to qualified foreign institutional investors
(QFIIs), bringing the overall quota to US$8.645 billion.
"Those new funds are mainly invested in bank shares and other blue chips,
which have steady and continual growing potential," said Zhang Qi, an analyst
with Haitong Securities.
China Merchants Bank, which gained 1.1 per cent on Friday, jumped 6.6 per
cent to 13.50 yuan (US$1.7). Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, the
country's largest lender, climbed 3.2 per cent to 3.92 yuan (49.6 US cents)
after gaining 9.8 per cent last week.
"Increasing confidence in the country's economy has boosted bank shares,
which directly reflects the country's macro-economic situation," said Dorris
Chen, senior analyst with BNP Paribas.
"Also, expectations of an appreciation of the Chinese currency are helping
yuan-denominated shares to rise," he said.
Another heavyweight blue chip, Sinopec Corp, Asia's largest oil refiner,
surged 7.8 per cent to 7.87 yuan (99.6 US cents) following Nymex crude's fall to
a 17-month low at Friday's close.
Zhang Yichi, who manages a mutual stock fund that sold out within two days,
believes the market would remain bullish next month. He predicted that the
return for mutual fund investors next year will reach up to 25 to 30 per cent.
The market capitalization of the Shanghai Stock Exchange crossed 5,000
billion yuan (US$633 billion) on November 15.