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By merging Italy's Banca Intesa SpA and Sanpaolo IMI SpA, the architects of
the deal aim to create a player with enough heft to be a driver in European
banking consolidation.
Saturday, the boards of the banks agreed to the terms of a merger, valued at
about £¿9.43 billion ($37.54 billion). The deal would catapult the two midsize
national players into a bank with a market capitalization of around £¿0 billion
that would likely rank No. 4 in the euro zone. However, in cases of domestic
megamergers like this one, success hinges on whether Intesa, of Milan, and
Sanpaolo, of Turin, can achieve the promised savings and synergies, and in
particular whether they can deliver on job reductions, which could be as high as
10% of total staff.
Under terms of the deal, which is to be put to shareholders for approval at
extraordinary meetings in December, Intesa is offering 3.115 of its shares for
every Sanpaolo share.
The transaction comes at a time when cross-border banking deals throughout
Europe have been on a sharp rise and shortly after foreign players such as ABN
Amro Holding NV of the Netherlands and France's BNP Paribas SA took control of a
pair of midsize Italian banks, adding to competitive pressure in one of Europe's
most lucrative banking markets.
Foreign entrants are upping the ante in one of Europe's most fragmented and,
until recently, sheltered banking markets. Pressure to become more competitive
has risen since Mario Draghi took over as Bank of Italy governor from Antonio
Fazio. Mr. Draghi is seen as someone who takes a more open-market view to
cross-border deals than his predecessor, who had hindered foreign takeovers of
Italian banks.
The architects of the Intesa-Sanpaolo merger, which would be the largest
domestic banking merger in Europe in a decade, said they see the deal as a first
step in creating a bank that is much better positioned to compete in further
consolidation across the Continent. That wasn't possible when the two operated
separately. They both lacked sufficient size and were hampered by shareholders
who didn't want to see their influence diluted through an expensive acquisition.
The combined entity stands to control roughly 20% of Italy's retail-banking
market. That would give it a strong position in the domestic market and enough
free cash flow to focus attention abroad.
A person involved in the negotiations said the new bank could begin to look
for acquisitions as early as a year from now. Advisers and executives who worked
on the deal stressed that any foreign acquisition would only follow a successful
integration of the two banks.
On its own terms, that integration could prove very lucrative. Domestic
in-market acquisitions generate almost double the economic value added that
cross-border transactions do, according to a study on European banking
consolidation by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. Joining two local players can help
save 21% of the target's cost base.
However, the success of any domestic merger depends on the banks' being able
to eke out those savings.
The executives of the two banks said they plan to find about £¿.3 billion in
cost savings by 2009, achieved by measures such as integrating information
technology. They predicted that combining operations would result in annual
net-profit growth of 13% and would achieve net profit of about £¿ billion by
2009. The merger would result in a pretax charge of £¿.5 billion, the banks
said.
The savings targets are in line with those for other European domestic merger
deals, said Marcello Zanardo, an analyst in London with Keefe Bruyette.
Achieving those savings often requires significant work-force reductions,
something difficult to carry out under Italy's strict labor laws.
Executives gave no details about potential layoffs following Saturday's
meetings. An adviser who worked on the deal said there were no plans for layoffs
in the banks' retail networks.
Mr. Zanardo said cost-savings targets imply that around 10,000 employees --
about 10% of the overall work force -- will leave. Forced layoffs are extremely
difficult in Italy because of restrictive labor laws, but staff reductions are
possible through the sale of bank branches to competitors and because of the
agreed sale by law of the tax-collection activities, which employ more than
3,000.
Still, the lack of clarity about how these reductions could be achieved
sparked some skepticism among industry analysts. "Achieving cost savings is
ultimately a matter of layoffs, and flexibility on this is limited in Italy,"
Citigroup wrote in a research note last week.
Yesterday, unions representing bank workers demanded a meeting with the
management of the two banks and declared that they were opposed to any plan that
included forced layoffs.
Under the merger terms, the new, and as yet unnamed, bank will have Banca
Intesa Chief Executive Officer Corrado Passera as its chief executive. Intesa
Chairman Giovanni Bazoli will head a supervisory board, while Sanpaolo Chairman
Enrico Salza will head a management board.
Shares in Sanpaolo closed Friday almost 3% higher at £¿6.05, while Intesa
shares closed 0.5% higher at £¿.05. Cr¨¦dit Agricole SA, of France, which wields
veto power over the deal as the largest player in Intesa's shareholder pact, has
cautiously backed the terms of the plan. In a statement Saturday, the French
bank said final approval was "subject to reaching an agreement which safeguards
and enhances the value of Cr¨¦dit Agricole's strategic interests in the Italian
market."
A person close to Cr¨¦dit Agricole said the French lender remains prepared to
exercise its veto power as negotiations continue. Mr. Bazoli called Cr¨¦dit
Agricole's conditions "reasonable," adding that the deal would include
"solutions to best protect their strategic interests."