The US suggested Thursday it has limited ability to
shoot a North Korean missile out of the sky and spurned suggestions of a
pre-emptive strike on the ground. Still, it warned the Koreans would pay a cost
for a missile launch.
 A
commercial satellite photo of North Korea's Nodong missile launch site
taken on by a Digital Globe satellite and annotated and released by
analysts at GlobalSecurity.org on May 24, 2006.
[Reuters] |
The nation's missile defense system, which now includes about a dozen
interceptor missiles in Alaska and California and on some Navy ships, has
suffered multiple test failures since US President Bush ordered the Reagan-era
program accelerated in early 2001.
Missile defense experts disagree on current US ability to
destroy a long-range missile once it is fired. But they seemed in agreement
that shooting at it, and missing, would be a huge embarrassment.
A better solution, said Bush's national security adviser, Stephen Hadley, was
for the North Koreans to "give it up and not launch" the missile that the US
believes is being fueled and prepared. "We think diplomacy is the right answer
and that is what we are pursuing," he said.
Tensions persisted over North Korea's apparent preparations to test-fire a
Taepodong-2 missile amid disagreements over US military options for
responding. The missile, with a believed range of up to 9,300 miles, is
potentially capable of reaching the mainland United States.
Pentagon officials said they were prepared to use the nation's missile
defense system if needed.
Asked under what circumstances it would be used against a North Korean
missile, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said Thursday, "The president
would make a decision with respect to the nature of the launch, whether it was
threatening to the territory of the United States or not, and the likely threat
that it would pose."
Rumsfeld expressed no sense of alarm about the missile situation. "It's
clear: All the intelligence suggests they have been making preparations
for a launch of a missile from the area of Taepo Dong for some days
now. There's a lot we know and a lot we don't know. So we'll
just have to see."
 The USS
Abraham Lincoln, USS Kitty Hawk and USS Ronald Reagan carrier strike
groups steam in formation during a joint photo exercise (PHOTOEX) in
preparation for Valiant Shield 2006 on Sunday, June 18, 2006, in the
Pacific Ocean. This is one of the largest US military exercises in decades
off Guam in the Pacific. [AP] |
The US missile defense program is a downscaled land-and-sea version
of a global defense network first proposed by Reagan that was dubbed "Star
Wars" by critics. Interceptor missiles, linked to a network of satellites,
radar, computers and command centers, are designed to strike and destroy incoming
ballistic missiles.
The Pentagon says the system is capable of defending against a limited
number of missiles in an emergency, such as a North Korean attack. More than $100
billion has been spent on the program since 1983, including $7.8 billion
authorized for the current fiscal year.
In the most recent test, a Navy ship late last month successfully shot down a
long-range missile in its final seconds of flight. Before a successful test in
the Pacific in December 2005, interceptor tests had failed five of 11 times.
In developments Thursday:
-- William Perry, a Clinton administration defense secretary, advocated a
strike on the missile on its launch pad. "Diplomacy has failed, and we cannot
sit by and let this deadly threat mature," Perry and former assistant defense
secretary Ashton B. Carter wrote in Thursday's Washington Post.
-- US Vice President Dick Cheney said North Korea's "missile capabilities are
fairly rudimentary" but developments were being closely monitored. In a CNN
interview, Cheney rejected Perry's suggestion of a pre-emptive strike, saying,
"The issue is being addressed appropriately."
-- Peter Rodman, assistant secretary of defense for international security
affairs, said Pyongyang risks unspecified retaliation in proceeding. "If such a
launch takes place, we would seek to impose some cost on North Korea," Rodman
told the House Armed Services Committee.
-- Loren Thompson, a defense consultant at the Lexington Institute in Arlington,
Va., cited "two basic problems" with trying to shoot down a Korean missile in
the air. "Our system is barely operational. And the impact on Korean perceptions
if we miss could be counterproductive."
-- Ivo Daalder, a former Clinton national security aide now at the Brookings
Institution said: "Either it won't work, in which case you've just
undermined the rationale for the system. Or if it does work, you have created an
even bigger international crisis."
Hadley brushed aside Perry's suggestion for a pre-emptive strike. Instead, he
said, "We hope it (North Korea) would come back to the table, and we hope it
would be a little sobered by the unanimous message that the international
community has sent."
No international talks to persuade North Korea to restrict
its nuclear program have been held since last November. The five other nations in
the talks, the US, China, Russia, Japan and South Korea, have all strongly urged the
North not to launch the missile.
Hadley, who briefed reporters in Budapest, Hungary, during a Bush visit,
expressed some reservations about the US ability to intercept and destroy such
a missile: "It is a research development and testing capability that has some
limited operational capability."
"If the North Koreans fire the missile and the president chooses to launch an
interceptor, the administration has an odd set of options," said Daryl Kimball,
executive director of the private Arms Control Association.
"If it hits the missile, will the North Koreans consider
that an act of war? And if the interceptor misses the North Korean test missile,
it would simply illustrate the fact that we spent tens of billions of dollars
for a system that's not effective, even against one missile from one known
launch point."