HAMAMATSU (FIBA 2006 World
Championships) - The Australian Boomers face their first test of the FIBA 2006
World Championships Saturday when they take on the more fancied Brazil.
The Boomers will not be fighting above their weight division, however, and
will have taken much encouragement from results at the Stankovic Continental
Champions Cup.
Brazil struggled to overcome hosts China, before being defeated by France in
the playoff for third position. While the Brazilians are certainly laden with
talent, they play a traditional style of basketball, making them vulnerable to a
well executed plan.
Highly respected in international basketball, this team is like many of the
physically powerful South American sides that have preceded them, according to
Australian assistant coach Rob Beveridge.
"They are strong, they are athletic, they penetrate well," said Beveridge,
emphasizing well known Brazilian strengths, but also aware of their weaknesses.
"They are not great shooters from what I have seen, but you cannot
underestimate them."
In the Stankovic Continental Champions Cup the American champions shot just
15/54 from long range, relying instead on their ability to beat defenders one on
one to create easier shots.
While athletically the Boomers are confident they can match the Brazilians on
defense, whether they can match them on the boards, the Achilles heel of this
young Australian side, will be tested severely on Saturday.
In their two victories in China, Brazil averaged almost 13 offensive rebounds
per game, with inside stars Tiago Splitter and Anderson Varejao combining for
well over half of those.
With Australia's lack of frontcourt depth, particularly at the power forward
position, Brazil will be no doubt looking to punish the Boomers in this area.
While usual small forward Sam Mackinnon has been outstanding manning the four
spot in the lead-up to the championships, coach Brian Goorjian will be hoping
for big things out of rising star Daniel Kickert.
Kickert is recognised as a future talent, but his lack of experience against
the strength of international players poses his biggest challenge. Beveridge,
however, is confident other aspects of the 209cm Melbournian's game can overcome
this.
"He is a very similar player to Matt Nielsen. An inside-outside player, he
can handle the ball and shoot the three."
It was this sort of versatility that troubled Brazil against France, who used
a wide variety of match-ups to disrupt the strong Brazilian defensive set.
Versatile forwards Boris Diaw (15 points), Florent Pietrus and Mickael
Gelabale (both 11 points) stretched the tall Brazilian line up, landing a
combined 6/9 three pointers as the French recorded 5 players in double figures,
compared to only Barbosa for Brazil.
Splitter and 208cm Becker Da Rosa ended in foul trouble, while Varejao
contributed only 5 points and 1 rebound. The entire Brazilian team only
collected 27 boards as a team, by far their lowest total in the lead up to
Japan.
With Australia's results thus far relying heavily on perimeter shooting (they
have not lost when hitting over 30% on threes), and the Brazilian bigs
uncomfortable away from the basket, this match could hinge on the Boomers
ability to spread the floor.
The Brazilians have also struggled to achieve wins without a major
contribution from star guard Leandro Barbosa. Thus veteran pair of CJ Bruton and
Jason Smith will have a major impact on the result.
History shows that Barbosa will always score points. However, if the Aussies
can stop his penetration, the other Brazilians may struggle to manufacture their
own shots. Just as importantly, the Australians will then be able to rebound as
a team to counter their size deficit.
The Brazilian defence will be geared toward Andrew Bogut and Brad Newley.
While this would be daunting for most youngsters, these two 21 year olds seem to
have taken international basketball in their stride.
Newley in particular has been a revelation. His new found consistency from
the three point line enables him to drive to the basket with ease. Once there he
is more than comfortable finishing the play over the tall timber.
There are no secrets to Bogut's game. He simply tries to out work and out
hustle his opponent on every possession. His ability to pass the ball is also
crucial, as a double team will never be too far away for the duration of the
tournament.
There is no question Bogut's contribution will be important for the Boomers,
however he is not yet good enough to carry a team internationally. Nothing but a
complete team effort will see the Aussies succeed.
To conquer Brazil, the Boomers must hit the open shots created by double
teams on Newley, Bogut and Mackinnon. Equally, Bruton, Smith and their young
supporting cast must stop Barbosa opening up the Boomer defense or their lack of
size inside the paint will be exposed.
Can they do it? Only time will tell.