BERLIN, June 22 - Italy and the Czech Republic will battle to survive their
"Group of Death" in an enticing showdown on Thursday that will untangle Group E
-- where all four teams still have a chance to advance.
The two European powers were not expected to be fighting at this point for
supremacy of the group, which emerged as the World Cup's most competitive as
none have secured a place in the next round. But now they will be battling to
stay alive.
Ghana, on three points, and United States, with one, need to win to hope to
overhaul Italy and the Czechs, who are first and second in the group with four
and three points respectively.
Only the winner of the Italy-Czech match in Hamburg will be through to the
knockout stage if Ghana beat the U.S. to advance. Even the Americans could still
grab a spot in the round of 16 if they beat Ghana in Nuremberg and the Czechs
lose in Hamburg.
It will all become terribly complicated if either or both matches were to end
in a draw, with calculators needed to sort out goal differences and determine
the two that go through.
The exercise in mathematics, however, may be easy compared to the challenge
looming for the runner-up in Group E -- Brazil.
The world champions sit comfortably atop Group F with six points from two
matches and would play the Group E runner-up on June 27 in Dortmund if they get
at least a point on Thursday.
Even if Brazil have yet to impress with either their unspectacular 1-0 win
over Croatia or their 2-0 victory over Australia, they need just a draw against
Japan to take first in the group. They have already booked a place in the last
16.
All four Group F teams are still alive for the second qualifying spot next to
Brazil. Australia are second with three points, Croatia third with one and a
goal-difference edge over Japan in fourth with one point.
Japan face the Herculean task of having to beat Brazil by at least two goals
to have any hope of progressing. Japan have managed only one goal in 180 minutes
while Brazil have not conceded a goal in their last six full internationals.
Even if Japan can beat Brazil by two goals, they must hope Australia fail to
beat Croatia in the other Group F game.
Japan will at least be able to count on support in numbers at the match in
Dortmund from the vast Japanese expatriate community concentrated in the nearby
city of Duesseldorf.
Zico, whose Japan team held Brazil 2-2 in last year's Confederations Cup and
were only denied a win when Marcos made a superb late save, still believes in
what seems an impossibility.