Foreign ministers of the United States, Britain, France, Russia and China,
which are permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, plus their
German counterpart, decided on July 12 that the Iranian nuclear issue should be
reported to the UN Security Council. The six countries made the decision because
Iran failed to positively respond to the package of incentives and proposals
worked out by the six parties early last month to resolve the country's nuclear
issue.
The foreign ministers said in a statement that they would see to it that the
Security Council passes a resolution giving binding power to the International
Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA) demand that Iran suspend its uranium enrichment
activities. Corresponding measures would be taken on the basis of Article 41 in
Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter, in case Iran refuses to comply with
the resolution.
The package of incentives and proposals to resolve Iran's nuclear issue was
drafted by the European Union and approved by the five permanent members of the
UN Security Council and the German foreign minister on June 2 in Vienna. It is
also known as P5+1 proposed package.
Javier Solana, the EU foreign policy chief, formally delivered the package to
Iran on June 6. But its contents were withheld from the public at that time.
The UN Security Council revealed the contents of the plan on July 13.
The proposals suggest that if Iran agrees to suspend its uranium enrichment
activities, the international community would support the nation's development
of a nuclear programme for civilian purposes as allowed by the Nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
There are other incentives.
Euratom (the European Atomic Energy Community), for instance, would sign a
nuclear co-operation accord with Iran, offering the latter state-of-the-art
technology to build light-water reactors in the country.
In addition, Iran would be offered membership of the Enrichment Facility in
Russia. The centre would enrich all the UF6 (uranium hexafluoride) turned out by
Iran's uranium conversion facilities and dispose of the country's nuclear waste.
With the participation of Iran, a buffer stock would be set up to provide the
nation with enough nuclear fuel to sustain it for five years.
At the same time, the international community would support Iran's membership
of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and work to see the lifting of the ban on
selling passenger planes to Iran. The European Union would build a long-term
strategic energy partnership with Iran and help the latter to develop energy
infrastructure such as gas and oil pipelines.
The relevant parties would also encourage the introduction of a regional
forum aimed at promoting security in the Gulf region and support the goal of
making the Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and their
vehicles.
However, the P5+1 proposals state that measures would be taken against Iran,
in accordance with Article 41 in Chapter VII of the UN Charter, if Iran refuses
to co-operate with the international community in this regard. The measures
include prohibiting overseas tours by top Iranian officials and personnel
related to the nuclear programme, freezing the assets of Iranian organizations
and individuals involved in the nuclear programme, imposing an arms embargo and
refraining from supporting Iran's WTO membership.
Iran, after being presented with the P5+1 package, said that the new plan
offered something positive but some technical details had yet to be clarified.
So a definite and substantial reply to the package would be made only after
careful studies were conducted. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, after
prodding from the United States and other Western countries, declared that Iran
would make the formal response to the package before August 22.
Some incentives offered in the P5+1 package are indeed ambiguously defined,
viewed from the technical perspective.
For example, the P5+1 plan allows Iran to retain its uranium conversion
capability, using centrifuges to turn uranium ore into UF6 which contains 0.75
per cent of uranium. The UF6 substance thus acquired is supposed to be turned
into enriched uranium by Russia. A question arises here. Should all of Iran's
164 centrifuges be engaged in the processing of uranium ore into UF6?
Furthermore, should Iran be allowed to buy or produce more centrifuges for this
purpose?
In addition, the P5+1 plan demands that Iran suspend all uranium-enrichment
related activities. Interpretation of the word "suspend" varies according to the
different parties involved. Russia, for example, maintains that the P5+1 package
is aimed at helping Iran establish its credibility in the international
community, believing that Iran embarked on the nuclear programme for purely
peaceful purposes. So, according to Russia, the word "suspend" has a time frame.
In eight or 10 years time, Iran can, therefore, resume its own uranium
enrichment activities once the country's credibility is established in the
international community.
The United States and Britain, however, have a different interpretation. They
maintain that, in this case, "suspension" is permanent. So Iran should stop all
its uranium enrichment activities once and for all. France and Germany are
caught between these two different schools of opinion.
Disagreement also arises from the understanding of the P5+1 package's goals
of bringing about a WMD-free Middle East.
Iran, which is a signatory to the NPT and has time and again stated that
possession of nuclear weapons goes against Islamic tradition, complains about
the double standards adopted by Western countries. The West, for instance, turns
a blind eye to Israel's possession and storage of nuclear weapons while
pressurizing Iran to abandon its nuclear programme. The West, therefore, has an
interest only in the mirage-like goals of bringing about a WMD-free Middle East
but refrains from pushing Israel to sign the NPT.
Other examples can be cited to illustrate Iran's concern about the real
connotations of the incentives contained in the P5+1 proposals.
All in all, however, the core of the P5+1 package is about Iran suspending
its uranium enrichment activities and fully co-operating with the IAEA in this
regard, which means that the country should resume the implementation of the
Safeguards Agreement. On this basis, Iran can negotiate with relevant parties on
the incentives contained in the package and thereafter reach a long-term
co-operative accord.
In other words, Iran's suspension of its uranium enrichment constitutes the
prerequisite to really enjoying the incentives offered by the P5+1 plan. Once
the negotiations on settling the Iranian nuclear issue are resumed, Iran will be
able to have discussions with the relevant parties to clarify the ambiguities
with regard to the incentives and can even bargain hard.
Iran is not supposed to turn down the P5+1 proposals, citing technical
ambiguities, and then refuse to come back to the negotiating table and continue
its uranium enrichment.
Iran's resumption of uranium enrichment in August 2005 caused great concern
in its immediate neighbourhood and the international community as a whole. The
P5+1 plan now offers a golden opportunity to settle the nuclear issue. It is
better for Iran to respond to the proposals positively as soon as possible.
The author is a professor with China Foreign Affairs
University.
(China Daily 07/17/2006 page4)