A new blow was dealt to the real estate industry last week when Beijing
Capital Land announced that its Chairman Liu Xiaoguang was busy "assisting" the
authorities in their investigation of the city's former Vice-Mayor Liu Zhihua.
The ousting of the vice-mayor was announced three weeks ago on the grounds of
his impermissible decadence.
Both men carry considerable weight in local business circles: Former
Vice-Mayor Liu was once in charge of Beijing's land development, and Liu the
businessman is head of the city's largest State-owned developer. These
developments could take some of the heat out of the city's real estate market,
where prices have risen sharply over the past few years.
For a while, the market may come to a halt, while business is at a low ebb.
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has already suspended trading in the shares of
Beijing Capital Land. Meanwhile, business on the city's real estate market is
also likely to witness a slowdown.
However, it may be premature, and indeed wishful thinking, for many of those
leaving comments on Chinese Internet forums to welcome the investigation into
the affairs of the two men as a sign of a healthier economy.
A commentator on the website of a well- known Beijing-based newspaper even
went so far as to suggest: "It seems that the central government is now making a
real effort in its crackdown on housing prices. And if no more accidents happen,
the supply of cheap housing will reach us in due course."
How can there be a crackdown on prices, as on crimes? I wondered. No doubt,
something has to be done to round up the law-breakers in land development,
especially corrupt city planning officials and their collaborators in big
corporations. And in many cases, their mindless pursuit of private gains has
interfered with market prices.
But law enforcement is one thing, and the trend of price movement is another.
Locking up a few bad officials and their business collaborators may lead the
market to a temporary halt, but cannot in itself make good business practices
more widespread, let alone bring along supplies of cheaper housing.
Indeed, if officials can become corrupt so easily as is seen from so many
cases of those in charge of major building projects, and if business can be so
murky in terms of price-setting, the problem cannot go away after putting a few
individuals behind bars. It is the system that has loopholes.
And until a systemic solution is available, the market will still be unable
to ensure adequate supplies of high-quality housing.
At this point, it may be helpful to learn from the experiences of industries
with similar problems. In mining, also a kind of land-based monopoly, giving
full rein to competition has resulted in nightmarish workplace hazards and human
costs. This was the case until recently, when some large State-owned companies
were set up to modify the mode of competition placing a greater emphasis on
safety and guaranteeing supplies to large power stations.
Letting local officials oversee private merchants fighting in monopolistic
industries has never been a wise move while it has always been a hotbed for
unlawful profits.
So Beijing may start considering setting up some large national-level
development companies (also possibly with public boards chaired by central
government appointees) to build houses for the largest cities, those which are
the main picks by immigrants from the countryside and from overseas.
To begin with, land development companies launched by local officials, such
as the powerful Beijing Capital Land, should all be taken over by the central
government. The ability of city officials to interfere in the local real estate
market should be strictly curtailed.
Email: younuo@chinadaily.com.cn
(China Daily 06/26/2006 page4)