The main knocks on the first three years of Yao Ming's otherwise good NBA
career have been his so-called "slow progress," periods of passive play, and
lack of stamina. The China Basketball Association (CBA) -- with its stubborn
insistence on scheduling Yao and the rest of the Chinese men's national
basketball team in seemingly every single summer basketball tournament on earth,
year after year -- bears most of the blame.
NBA players usually make the biggest progress during the off-season, as the
82-game, six-month regular season prevents them from single-mindedly working on
their conditioning and individual skills. Unfortunately, Yao's contractual
commitments to the national team often leave him with a very short off-season.
How important is this? Check out the stats of the Phoenix Sun's Amare
Stoudemire, who entered the league at the same time as Yao. His points-per-game
(ppg) average has risen from 13.5 in his first year to 26.0 in his third year,
compared to Yao's 13.5-to-18.3 ppg rise. Yao has expressed desire for a
Stoudemire-like jump. I believe he can achieve this, but only if the CBA stop
cramping his room for development.
Sure, many other NBA players also play competitive basketball during the
break. In the United States there are many summer basketball leagues in which
NBA players participate. But few if any have to play in as many off-season
international games as Yao.
In fact, shortly after the Rockets' season ended this year, Yao excitedly
expressed hope for a summer of rest. Then like Dikembe Mutombo, the CBA quickly
blocked that hope, citing his national team obligations. Fortunately, surgery
limited him to only a few warm-up games and the Asian Basketball Championship;
as a bonus, the coach further limited Yao's playing time.
Ironically, Yao's best break was that surgery, which gave him much needed
albeit short rest from nearly three years of non-stop competitive basketball.
Yao took advantage of this time off to work more on his game. He has added more
upper-body strength, which should help him to finish plays much stronger like
Shaquille O'Neil and snag rebounds like Kevin Garnett.
At the same time, the rest should give Yao more stamina and energy for this
season. Consequently, both his minutes and his production will rise to an Allen
Iverson-type level. The better conditioning will also manifest itself in Yao
playing both more aggressively for longer periods and better in-your-face
defense, aka Ben Wallace style.
I expect Yao to become a monster on the basketball court in this upcoming NBA
season. Barring injury, he should elevate his game to a new level, and help lead
the Rockets to the second round and maybe even the semifinals in the postseason.
In the meantime, the CBA needs to review its objectives. For China to reach
its goal of medalling in basketball at the 2008 Olympics, it needs to undergo a
mental makeover.
For starters, give Yao all of next summer off. Forget about the Asian
Championships; the national team's 98-10 victory over Saudi Arabia in September
means that China could have probably won the entire tournament without Yao.
Besides, how significant is a title when your opponents play like high school
freshmen?
If Yao gets the summer off, the benefits gained from the rest will turn him
into an all-dominating center whose good free throw percentage and short jumper
could vault him over Shaq as the world's premiere big man.
The CBA can also enhance the level of other Chinese players by allowing more
of them to play in top leagues overseas, at least till the Olympics. A couple of
years of competing against top players across the world may make them
NBA-caliber by the time 2008 arrives.
Another option is for the CBA to lift its limit on the number of foreign
players per team, at least until 2008. Such a cap limits the competition, which
in turn stagnates Chinese basketball players' development, since they don't have
to work as hard to earn minutes. What's wrong with an "elevate your game or warm
the bench" philosophy?
So there are two scenarios.
One, at the 2008 Olympics, the national team, led by a dominating Yao and his
efficient and fundamentally sound NBA-caliber teammates, leads China to the
bronze medal, or, if Larry Brown coaches the USA Dream Team again, maybe even a
silver or gold medal. Read the headlines: Chinese Men's Basketball Team Crushes
USA.
Or, the CBA can choose the old-school way over daring
and controversial yet efficient methods. The national team, led by Yao, wins the
2006 and 2007 Asian Basketball Championships, along with a couple of obscure
tournaments. Then in the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympics, in front of 1.3 billion
Chinese people, the team, led by a good but tired Yao Ming, duplicates or even
falls short of its 2004 Athens result of making the final eight.
Write to Raymond McFarland at mcstephen23@hotmail.com