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Schroeder shocks Germany with early election call
(Agencies)
Updated: 2005-05-23 08:39
Germany looks set to hold a national election within a few months after
Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder shocked the country by calling for an early vote in
the aftermath of a crushing regional poll defeat.
Schroeder announced his dramatic gamble after voters in the large regional
state of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) kicked his Social Democrats (SPD) out of
government after 39 years.
"We've had a political earthquake here," said Johann Michael Moeller, a
commentator for the daily Die Welt. "The SPD is on the ropes."
German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder briefs the
media in the chancellery in Berlin, Sunday, May 22, 2005. Voters in
Germany's most populous state ejected Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder's
Social Democrats from power Sunday after 39 years of domination,
projections showed, prompting the party's leader Franz Muentefering to
call for national elections to be brought forward to later this year.
[AP] | The call for a new election carries
enormous risks for Schroeder, who has seen his personal ratings plunge as
unemployment has surged to post-war highs.
In an instant survey conducted by ARD television on Sunday night, 46 percent
of respondents said they would vote for the CDU and 29 percent for the SPD.
Voters appeared to be punishing him for the fact that his painful welfare
cutbacks have produced little or no visible gain. But he will hope to convince
them that the plans of the conservatives, who have largely supported his
reforms, will be even more painful.
"With the bitter election result for my party in North Rhine-Westphalia
(NRW), political support for our reforms to continue has been called into
question," a shaken-looking Schroeder told German television.
"I see it as my responsibility and duty as German chancellor to persuade the
president ... to call new elections for the Bundestag as quickly as possible,
realistically by autumn 2005."
CONTROVERSIAL REFORMS
Two years ago, Schroeder unveiled a package of labor market reforms known as
"Agenda 2010" that sparked protests across the country. They include cuts in
jobless benefits and stricter rules on means-testing for the long-term
unemployed.
Federal elections are held every four years for Germany's lower house, the
Bundestag, with the next one due at the end of 2006. Early elections are
possible only in exceptional circumstances and the final decision rests with the
president, currently the conservative Horst Koehler.
Schroeder could seek a vote of confidence in the Bundestag as early as next
month. Should he lose that vote -- which the government can try to lose
deliberately -- Koehler would have 21 days to decide whether to dissolve
parliament.
There is a precedent for an early election. The Bundestag was dissolved early
at the behest of Christian Democrat Chancellor Helmut Kohl, who wanted new
elections in March 1983 to expand his parliamentary majority.
Schroeder's shock announcement came after voters in NRW dealt the SPD its
worst defeat since his re-election in 2002.
Preliminary results put the conservative Christian Democrats at 44.8 percent,
against 37.1 percent for the SPD -- enough to win control of a region
Schroeder's party has ruled since 1966.
The CDU's likely coalition partners, the liberal Free Democrats, stood at 6.2
percent, giving the two parties an absolute majority.
Once an SPD stronghold dominated by the coal and steel industry, NRW has
fallen on hard times.
Unemployment in the state, which borders on the Netherlands and Belgium and
is home to a fifth of the population, recently pushed above the one million mark
to a post-war high. Voters have blamed Schroeder's reforms for their woes.
MERKEL STRENGTHENED
The result strengthens the hand of Merkel, who stands a good chance of
running against Schroeder in a bid to become Germany's first woman chancellor.
The prospect of early elections was expected to boost German stocks on
Monday. Brokers said foreign investors would be drawn by the hope that a victory
for the CDU could mean more far-reaching economic reforms.
Some analysts saw the move as a bid to silence left-wingers in the SPD who
have been clamouring for a change in direction, including a rollback of
Schroeder's reforms and the introduction of more worker-friendly policies.
"It's sensational. I almost didn't believe it," said Uwe Andersen, a
political scientist at Ruhr University in Bochum.
"The only rational explanation I can think of is that someone from the SPD's
left wing signaled to (SPD party chairman Franz) Muentefering that they would
not support the government's current policy."
Regardless, Schroeder faces an uphill battle.
The SPD has now seen its support decline in nine consecutive state elections.
NRW was the last German state ruled by a coalition of the SPD and the
leftist-environmentalist Greens, leaving the federal coalition in Berlin as the
last "Red-Green" alliance.
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