Companies

Steelmakers may cut production on weak demand

By Helen Yuan (China Daily)
Updated: 2010-06-09 09:49

Price decline

Benchmark steel prices in China, the biggest consumer of the metal, have fallen 10 percent from an 18-month high on April 15, according to Beijing Antaike Information Development Co. Tangshan Iron & Steel Group, part of China's largest steelmaker, and Baotou Iron & Steel Group may shut plants for maintenance this month as prices fall, UC361.com analyst Hu Yanping said on June 2.

"If they cut production they'll be buying less ore and that would likely push ore costs lower for the fourth quarter, benefiting all producers," Applebaum said.

Baosteel and China's bigger steelmakers will respect their iron-ore contracts even as spot prices may fall below the contract levels in the third quarter, Xu said.

"We will honor the contracts, although we may question the rationality of the quarterly pricing system in the negotiations with the suppliers," Xu said. "It's hard to say we will see more supplies from the spot market. Steelmakers have various purchasing strategies."

Related readings:  Tough times ahead for China steel companies   Steel price down despite iron ore price hike  Iron ore prices may rise 30% to 50% from July  Morgan Stanley says steel, building materials are good bet

Prices for 62 percent iron-content ore arriving at Chinese ports have dropped 21 percent to $147.50 a ton from $186.50 on April 21, according to The Steel Index. Iron ore and coking coal are the two key ingredients in steel. Iron ore inventories at major Chinese ports rose 2.1 percent last week as falling steel prices prompted some mills to cut production and buy less, researcher Mysteel.com said on June 4.

Quarterly iron ore prices may rise in the third quarter and drop in the fourth quarter, Xu said.

Vale SA, BHP Billiton Ltd and Rio Tinto Group this year abandoned a 40-year tradition of setting prices annually in favor of quarterly contracts, with the Brazilian mill winning a 90 percent increase for the April period.

Quarterly prices are based on the average index prices of prior three months, Vale SA said last week in Shanghai.

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