China's export of steel would not maintain the high growth rate recorded in
the first quarter, and would slow down in the second half of the year, owing to
the shrinking demand internationally and reduced export rebates, according to a
business insider.
Statistics with the China Iron and Steel Association
show the country exported 14.13 million tons of steel in the first quarter, an
increase of 33.26 percent from the same period last year. The export throughout
the year would reach 57.3 million tons if estimated on the average daily export
reported in the first quarter.
However, Luo Bingsheng, vice chairman of
the association, said the estimation for the whole year was not well grounded,
predicting that the high growth rate was unlikely to continue into the second
half.
The market for export would be narrowed in the second half against
a smaller demand for steel globally throughout the year, although the demand was
robust in the first quarter, according to Luo.
The International Iron
and Steel Institute said the demand for steel in 2007 was 2.6 percent lower than
last year.
The export rebate cut for steel products, which came into
effect on April 15, may dampen the enthusiasm of steel exporters, Luo said.
He predicted that China's export of steel products may level with that
in 2006 or even drop slightly in 2007.
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