China's telecoms regulator has released a list of 102 companies engaged in 
illegal behaviour in the country's wireless value-added services industry in its 
latest effort to clean up the unruly sector.
Publication of the list came as one analyst predicted a major retrenchment 
for the industry, which is likely to contract by up to 30 percent amid the 
current clean-up.
The new list, whose names include units of software maker Kingsoft and 
Shanghai Sifang Information Technology, was published on the Ministry of 
Information Industry's Web site (www.mii.gov.cn) on Monday.
Its publication comes less than two weeks after the nation's top wireless 
value-added service providers, including Tom Online, Sina Corp., Sohu.com Inc. 
and Linktone Ltd., were informed of new policies designed to clean up the 
industry.
Other firms warning of fall-out from the new rules included KongZhong Corp. 
and Hurray Holding Co. Ltd.
The ministry said in a statement that it had conducted a survey of the 
industry looking into practices that were harmful to consumers.
It said the 102 companies were found to be engaged in illegal practices have 
been asked to come into compliance.
"If the companies have not corrected themselves within a set period, they 
will have their licenses revoked," the MII statement said, without providing 
specifics on the time period.
The new policies have taken a toll on the stocks of the publicly traded 
companies affected, with some analysts predicting their revenue from such 
services could fall by up to 20 percent.
Sina shares are down 10 percent since the changes were announced, Tom Online 
shares are down 31 percent, and Linktone shares are down 18 percent.
Among the major changes in the original announcement, the companies will be 
required to offer free one-month trials for their services, and will be required 
to verify that consumers actually want their services renewed on a regular 
basis.
Piper Jaffray analyst Safa Rashtchy said the changes will "have a lasting 
impact" on the industry.
"The most troubling aspect of the new regulations ... is that it points to a 
lack of quality in the wireless value added services," he said in a research 
note on Monday.
"As such, we believe the industry has to nearly re-tool itself to produce 
significantly more useful products and change its marketing methods.
"The result of these changes are likely to be an industry that could be much 
smaller in size -- perhaps 30 percent or more smaller than the current size, but 
one that is the more realistic representation of the demand."
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