Global EditionASIA 中文双语Français
Europe

Fall impact

China Daily Europe | Updated: 2015-07-31 08:26
Share
Share - WeChat

John Ross, senior fellow of Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China

- All studies show there is a negative long-term correlation between stock market performance and a country's economic growth and with China, this is particularly the case.

- There could be short-term effects, although the number of Chinese people holding shares is small.

George Magnus, senior independent economic adviser, UBS London

- The equity market wobble will not have a durable effect on the China economy.

- It is a setback for the government's attempts to introduce market reforms in the economy.

Louis Kuijs, chief economist, Greater China, RBS

- The negative effects of the slump in the stock market on the real economy are likely to be quite modest.

- The financial sector, which has been a recent engine of economic growth, could put pressure on the GDP growth target.

Oliver Barron, head of the China office of NSBO

- The property market revival and government-led infrastructure construction are likely to make up for any negative stock market impact in the second quarter.

- Only 6.8 percent of urban households have share accounts so there is no destruction of household wealth.

Zhu Ning, deputy director of the Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance

- The lack of a connection between the stock market and the real economy shows that it is a failed market.

- Firms may face a funding crisis as a result of the slump that could be bad for growth.

Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist and strategist with Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank

- If the government reaches for the investment lever to offset any impact from share market volatility it will put on hold the rebalancing of the economy.

- Increased investment in infrastructure could lead to a new crisis in local government debt.

Paul Gillis, professor of accounting at Guanghua School of Management at Peking University

- China's stock market is still too small to lead to a Wall Street Crash 1929 moment.

- If growth does slow it could make some of the Chinese stocks to look more overvalued than they do now.

(China Daily European Weekly 07/31/2015 page7)

Today's Top News

Editor's picks

Most Viewed

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US